Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.46
Edge
+1.6%Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.50
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
41%
17/41
Avg0.55
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.9% | 95.6 | .196 | .320 | 21.8% |
| Changeup | 28.8% | 87.0 | .257 | .571 | 32.8% |
| Slider | 20.0% | 88.3 | .227 | .545 | 37.5% |
| Curveball | 14.3% | 82.1 | .093 | .116 | 48.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jazz Chisholm Jr. clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
José Caballero o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 52% · n=45 · -123 DraftKings
José Caballero o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 69% · base 52% · n=45 · -123 BetOnline
Jasson Domínguez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 55% · n=65 · -149 dabble_us_dfs
Ben Rice o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=95 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +184 | -182 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TB — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Max Schuemann NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cody Bellinger NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ali Sánchez NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Amed Rosario NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jasson Domínguez NYY | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cody Bellinger NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ryan McMahon NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS