Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ezequiel Duran

Texas Rangers · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.44
Edge
+4.9%
Trending splitsDay 50%(26)
Last 10
40%4/10 over 1.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
41%
19/46
Avg1.04
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Ezequiel Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=10 · -130 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=13 · -158 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 64% · n=30 · -239 DraftKings
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 61% · n=38 · -206 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 10 vs 1.5

away only · official box scores
4@ MIA06/221@ MIA06/230@ MIA06/240@ TOR06/252@ TOR06/261@ TOR06/272@ TOR06/280@ CLE06/291@ CLE06/303@ CLE07/011.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+157-211
Bovada1.5+155-210

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs LAA Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Alejandro Osuna TEX07/074
Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Jarren Duran BOS07/055
Willson Contreras BOS07/054
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.4741.056.1541.0421.000.8001.250.667.095
onBasePercentage
.263.333.077.500.414.320.333.222.048
AVG
.222.333.077.500.414.333.333.231.050
sluggingPercentage
.222.722.077.542.586.500.917.462.050
Exit Velo
79.0088.1694.6386.0993.4589.9497.2595.5781.88