Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.44
Edge
+4.9%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
All 158 games
28%44/158 over 1.5
Window avg
0.97
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
33%
18/54
Avg0.97
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .346 | .462 | 15.3% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .382 | .509 | 13.2% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .149 | .239 | 33.1% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | .324 | .649 | 27.7% |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Ezequiel Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=10 · -130 DraftKings
Elias Díaz o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=10 · -137 PrizePicks
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=13 · -158 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=13 · -137 PrizePicks
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 158 games vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo