Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ezequiel Duran

Texas Rangers · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-1.1%
Trending splitsDay 77%(26)
Last 109
56%61/109 over 0.5
Window avg
0.81
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
62%
21/34
Avg0.81
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Ezequiel Duran clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 70% · n=16 · -130 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 68% · n=21 · -158 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=49 · -239 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 109 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs PIT04/220vs OAK04/251vs NYY04/270vs NYY04/282vs NYY04/291vs CHC05/080vs CHC05/091vs CHC05/101vs AZ05/111vs AZ05/121vs AZ05/130vs HOU05/252vs HOU05/260vs HOU05/272vs HOU05/282vs KC05/291vs KC05/301vs KC05/310vs CLE06/050vs CLE06/064vs CLE06/070vs MIN06/161vs MIN06/181vs SD06/190vs SD06/200vs SD06/212vs DET07/020vs DET07/041vs DET07/051vs LAA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+160

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.4741.056.1541.0421.000.8001.250.667.095
onBasePercentage
.263.333.077.500.414.320.333.222.048
AVG
.222.333.077.500.414.333.333.231.050
sluggingPercentage
.222.722.077.542.586.500.917.462.050
Exit Velo
79.0088.1694.6386.0993.4589.9497.2595.5781.88