Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ezequiel Duran

Texas Rangers · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-1.2%
Last 5
80%4/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
59%
32/54
Avg0.73
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.346.46215.3%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.382.50913.2%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.149.23933.1%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2.324.64927.7%
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Ezequiel Duran clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 70% · n=16 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Elias Díaz o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 81% · base 70% · n=16 · -105 dabble_us_dfs
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 68% · n=21 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 81% · base 68% · n=21 · -120 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ TOR06/260@ CLE06/291@ CLE06/302vs DET07/021vs LAA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+160
dabble_us_dfs0.5-145+147

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.4741.056.1541.0001.000.7691.250.714.095
AVG
.222.333.077.480.414.320.333.259.050
onBasePercentage
.263.333.077.480.414.308.333.250.048
sluggingPercentage
.222.722.077.520.586.480.917.481.050
Exit Velo
79.0088.1694.6386.1193.4590.5397.2595.9781.88