Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.44
Edge
+4.9%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
All 243 games
15%31/202 over 2 · 41 push
Window avg
1.08
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
29%
2/7
L20
24%
4/17
2026
27%
18/67
Avg1.08
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Ezequiel Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=10 · -130 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=13 · -158 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 64% · n=30 · -239 DraftKings
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 61% · n=38 · -206 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 243 games vs 2
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
onBasePercentage
AVG
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo