Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.44
Edge
+4.9%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 81
33%27/81 over 1.5
Window avg
1.05
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
48%
10/21
Avg1.05
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Ezequiel Duran clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=10 · -130 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=13 · -158 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 64% · n=30 · -239 DraftKings
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 61% · n=38 · -206 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 81 vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
onBasePercentage
AVG
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo