Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.11
Edge
+3.3%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Trending splitsDay 15%(26)
Last 20
5%1/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.05
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
5%
1/21
Avg0.02
StreakL10
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .346 | .462 | 15.3% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .382 | .509 | 13.2% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .149 | .239 | 33.1% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | .324 | .649 | 27.7% |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1367 | -1250 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
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