Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ezequiel Duran

Texas Rangers · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-1.1%
Trending splitsDay 77%(26)
Last 81
51%41/81 over 0.5
Window avg
0.79
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
62%
13/21
Avg0.79
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Ezequiel Duran clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 70% · n=16 · -130 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 68% · n=21 · -158 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=49 · -239 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 81 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ KC08/201vs CLE08/230vs LAA08/260@ OAK08/293vs HOU09/050vs HOU09/070vs MIL09/080@ CLE09/271@ CLE09/280@ PHI03/261@ PHI03/291@ BAL04/010@ OAK04/142@ OAK04/160vs OAK04/251vs NYY04/271@ DET05/033@ COL05/183@ COL05/191@ COL05/200@ LAA05/240vs CLE06/054vs CLE06/071@ BOS06/130@ BOS06/140vs SD06/212@ TOR06/260@ CLE06/293@ CLE07/012vs DET07/020.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-216+160

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.4741.056.1541.0421.000.8001.250.667.095
onBasePercentage
.263.333.077.500.414.320.333.222.048
AVG
.222.333.077.500.414.333.333.231.050
sluggingPercentage
.222.722.077.542.586.500.917.462.050
Exit Velo
79.0088.1694.6386.0993.4589.9497.2595.5781.88