Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.81
Edge
-5.8%Last 5
0%0/5 over 1.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
21%
5/24
Avg0.83
StreakL8
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats SwitchThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .318 | .545 | 21.3% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .333 | .444 | 28.6% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .211 | .421 | 28.6% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | — | — | — |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .400 | .600 | 28.6% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .083 | .167 | 20.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Braden Montgomery clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Sam Antonacci o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 73% · n=14 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=15 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 63% · n=15 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 73% · base 63% · n=15 · -196 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 5 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -189 | +144 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -152 | +154 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlinedabble_us_dfs
League vs BOS — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jose Siri LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo