Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.81
Edge
-5.8%Last 24
21%5/24 over 1.5
Window avg
0.83
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
21%
5/24
Avg0.83
StreakL8
Parlay pairs — when Braden Montgomery clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Sam Antonacci o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 73% · n=14 · -244 BetOnline
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=15 · -233 DraftKings
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 63% · n=15 · -209 DraftKings
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 73% · base 63% · n=15 · -196 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 24 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -189 | +144 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BOS — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vaughn Grissom LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage