Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.12
Edge
-2.1%Last 5
20%1/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
16%
4/25
Avg0.16
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .194 | .387 | 21.3% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | — | — | — |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .556 | 1.111 | 25.0% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +645 | -625 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAD — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Troy Johnston COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Hunter Goodman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
AVG