Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.78
Edge
+4.6%Last 10
33%3/9 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
1.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
33%
3/9
L20
33%
6/18
2026
28%
18/64
Avg1.70
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 32.1% | 88.1 | .208 | .375 | 9.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 17.1% | 91.5 | .270 | .473 | 23.0% |
| Sweeper | 14.5% | 79.8 | .323 | .548 | 33.3% |
| Curveball | 10.5% | 77.8 | .200 | .300 | 27.0% |
| Changeup | 10.4% | 82.4 | .136 | .182 | 25.0% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 91.2 | .214 | .286 | 19.3% |
| Splitter | 5.1% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jose Altuve clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 68% · n=130 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=23 · -109 dabble_us_dfs
Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=78 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 10 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +120 | -160 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +120 | -160 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +127 | -127 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs WSH — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yainer Diaz HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS