Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.77
Edge
+4.6%Trending splitsvs LHP 56%(16)
Last 20
50%8/16 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
1.75
Median
1.0
L5
75%
3/4
L10
57%
4/7
L20
50%
8/16
2026
46%
24/52
Avg1.70
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Jose Altuve clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 68% · n=130 · -230 DraftKings
Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=23 · -131 DraftKings
Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=78 · -179 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +120 | -160 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +120 | -160 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picks
League vs WSH — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yainer Diaz HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage