Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.77
Edge
+4.6%Last 5
80%4/5 over 0.5
Window avg
2.80
Median
4.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
60%
42/70
Avg1.70
StreakW4
Parlay pairs — when Jose Altuve clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 68% · n=130 · -230 DraftKings
Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=23 · -131 DraftKings
Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=78 · -179 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs WSH — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Yainer Diaz HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage