Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jose Altuve

Houston Astros · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
-4.9%
Last 5
80%4/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
60%
42/70
Avg1.07
StreakW4

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.208.3759.3%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.270.47323.0%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.323.54833.3%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.200.30027.0%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.136.18225.0%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.214.28619.3%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Jose Altuve clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=33 · -109 dabble_us_dfs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=105 · -167 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs TB07/032vs TB07/041vs TB07/051@ WSH07/061@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-240+178
dabble_us_dfs0.5-227+228

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Christian Walker HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.125.300.200.333.344.190.273.346.263
Exit Velo
84.1790.9384.0383.9090.7987.9186.6689.4581.51
onBasePercentage
.222.300.294.333.333.190.273.346.263
sluggingPercentage
.125.700.333.400.813.310.636.577.316
OPS
.3331.000.588.7331.121.500.909.923.579