Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-10.8%Trending splitsDay 56%(16)
Last 42
48%20/42 over 0.5
Window avg
0.67
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
48%
20/42
Avg0.67
StreakL2
Parlay pairs — when Colt Emerson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 85% · base 74% · n=20 · -193 DraftKings
Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 66% · n=17 · -258 DraftKings
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 50% · n=14 · -178 DraftKings
Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 47% · n=8 · -152 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 42 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Randy Arozarena SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luke Raley SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Canzone SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brian Serven OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Cortes OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG