Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Colt Emerson

Seattle Mariners · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-10.8%
Last 26
42%11/26 over 0.5
Window avg
0.54
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
42%
11/26
Avg0.54
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Colt Emerson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 85% · base 74% · n=20 · -193 DraftKings
Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 66% · n=17 · -258 DraftKings
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 50% · n=14 · -178 DraftKings
Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 47% · n=8 · -152 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 26 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs SD05/171vs CWS05/180vs CWS05/191@ KC05/220@ OAK05/250@ OAK05/260vs AZ05/291vs AZ05/301vs NYM06/012vs NYM06/021@ DET06/050@ BAL06/111@ WSH06/121vs BAL06/160vs BAL06/170vs BOS06/190vs BOS06/201@ PIT06/230@ PIT06/241@ CLE06/260@ CLE06/270vs LAA06/293vs LAA06/300vs LAA07/020vs TOR07/030@ MIA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-148+111

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Randy Arozarena SEA07/072
Cal Raleigh SEA07/072
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Luke Raley SEA07/071
Cole Young SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Jonah Heim OAK07/052
Brian Serven OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Lawrence Butler OAK07/051
Zack Gelof OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
88.5688.9090.6788.2191.5388.4483.6986.3296.34
onBasePercentage
.500.400.222.300.375.300.200.300.308
sluggingPercentage
1.4001.000.889.400.500.400.200.300.692
OPS
1.6671.4001.111.700.875.700.400.6001.000
AVG
.400.400.222.300.375.300.200.300.308