Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-10.8%All 42 games
5%2/42 over 2.5
Window avg
0.67
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
5%
2/42
Avg0.67
StreakL5
Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 25.2% | 95.8 | .190 | .286 | 19.1% |
| Sweeper | 24.1% | 84.2 | .200 | .700 | 26.3% |
| Splitter | 24.0% | 87.4 | .400 | .400 | 16.7% |
| Curveball | 16.5% | 83.6 | .118 | .118 | 40.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 9.1% | 96.3 | .237 | .605 | 39.4% |
| Slider | 1.1% | 88.7 | .214 | .286 | 47.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Colt Emerson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 85% · base 74% · n=20 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 66% · n=17 · -233 dabble_us_dfs
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 50% · n=14 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 47% · n=8 · -152 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 42 games vs 2.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs MIA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Randy Arozarena SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luke Raley SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Canzone SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brian Serven OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Cortes OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS