Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-10.8%Last 11
55%6/11 over 0.5
Window avg
0.64
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
6/11
2026
55%
6/11
Avg0.64
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Colt Emerson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 85% · base 74% · n=20 · -193 DraftKings
Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 66% · n=17 · -258 DraftKings
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 50% · n=14 · -178 DraftKings
Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 47% · n=8 · -152 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 11 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Randy Arozarena SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luke Raley SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Canzone SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Cortes OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brian Serven OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG