Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.07
Edge
-2.1%Last 48
6%3/48 over 0.5
Window avg
0.06
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
6%
3/48
Avg0.06
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.4% | 96.0 | .206 | .324 | 31.8% |
| Slider | 19.1% | 86.1 | .346 | .577 | 34.0% |
| Cutter | 18.8% | 91.6 | .308 | .308 | 21.7% |
| Splitter | 8.9% | 88.4 | .125 | .250 | 42.1% |
| Sinker | 8.4% | 95.3 | .300 | .300 | 26.3% |
| Curveball | 6.3% | 77.8 | .500 | .500 | 40.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 48 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +998 | -909 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs DET — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Wilson OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Shea Langeliers OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colby Thomas OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS