Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.91
Edge
+3.1%Last 5
60%3/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
71%
12/17
2026
71%
12/17
Avg1.06
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.4% | 96.0 | .206 | .324 | 31.8% |
| Slider | 19.1% | 86.1 | .346 | .577 | 34.0% |
| Cutter | 18.8% | 91.6 | .308 | .308 | 21.7% |
| Splitter | 8.9% | 88.4 | .125 | .250 | 42.1% |
| Sinker | 8.4% | 95.3 | .300 | .300 | 26.3% |
| Curveball | 6.3% | 77.8 | .500 | .500 | 40.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Henry Bolte clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Zack Gelof o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 92% · base 82% · n=26 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=33 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Wilson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 67% · n=10 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 69% · base 58% · n=26 · +141 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs DET — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Shea Langeliers OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Wilson OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colby Thomas OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS