Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.35
Edge
-2.8%Last 15
33%5/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.33
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
28%
8/29
Avg0.34
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .300 | .500 | 16.7% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .231 | .385 | 15.5% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | — | — | — |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .111 | .111 | 26.3% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .182 | .182 | 21.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Sung-Mun Song clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 59% · n=8 · -258 DraftKings
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 55% · n=8 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 41% · n=8 · +130 DraftKings
Manny Machado o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 38% · n=8 · +141 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +211 | -208 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Rodolfo Durán SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS