Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Sung-Mun Song

San Diego Padres · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.61
Edge
-5.7%
Last 20
0%0/18 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/9
L20
0%
0/18
2026
0%
0/26
Avg0.55
StreakL5

Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
28.8%
89.6.300.50016.7%
Four-seam FB
26.8%
93.4.231.38515.5%
Sweeper
16.1%
83.4
Curveball
12.7%
86.3
Changeup
7.8%
86.7.111.11126.3%
Sinker
7.8%
93.0.182.18221.1%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Sung-Mun Song clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 62% · n=13 · -148 DraftKings
Rodolfo Durán o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 53% · n=8 · +107 dabble_us_dfs
Rodolfo Durán o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 53% · n=8 · +107 dabble_us_dfs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 59% · n=13 · -258 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
0vs OAK05/230@ WSH05/310@ PHI06/020vs NYM06/052vs NYM06/061vs CIN06/091vs CIN06/100@ BAL06/130@ STL06/151@ STL06/171@ TEX06/211vs ATL06/231vs LAD06/260vs LAD06/282@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/030@ LAD07/041@ LAD07/050vs AZ07/060vs AZ07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-121-110
dabble_us_dfs0.5-120+122

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:12 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Manny Machado SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
95.0085.2563.2785.6091.9787.5282.4693.54100.91
AVG
.500.111.286.000.286.167.000.500.333
sluggingPercentage
.750.111.429.000.500.167.000.500.667
onBasePercentage
.500.111.286.125.286.286.000.500.333
OPS
1.250.222.714.125.786.429.0001.0001.000