Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.05
Edge
-1.6%All 27 games
4%1/27 over 0.5
Window avg
0.04
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
4%
1/27
Avg0.04
StreakL5
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .300 | .500 | 16.7% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .231 | .385 | 15.5% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | — | — | — |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .111 | .111 | 26.3% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .182 | .182 | 21.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — all 27 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1354 | -1250 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Rodolfo Durán SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS