Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.17
Edge
+6.2%Last 15
27%4/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.27
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
15%
7/48
Avg0.15
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 29.9% | 87.1 | .100 | .100 | 35.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.4% | 96.7 | .333 | .667 | 15.0% |
| Sinker | 21.0% | 96.9 | .250 | .417 | 13.2% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.9% | 83.8 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 6.7% | 88.7 | .136 | .273 | 54.3% |
| Cutter | 3.0% | 93.2 | .214 | .286 | 17.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1005 | -1000 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SEA — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Stowers MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Urías TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yohendrick Piñango TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS