Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-2.3%Last 12
67%8/12 over 0.5
Window avg
0.83
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
67%
8/12
2026
67%
8/12
Avg0.83
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Joe Mack clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Liam Hicks o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 70% · n=22 · -260 DraftKings
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 77% · n=27 · -267 DraftKings
Otto Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 74% · n=26 · -271 DraftKings
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=27 · -205 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 12 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SEA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyle Stowers MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Urías TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS