Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jake Bennett

Boston Red Sox · P · Bats L · Throws L

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
Edge
Last 5
80%4/5 over 2
Window avg
4.80
Median
5.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
2026
80%
4/5
Avg4.80
StreakW3

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 5 vs 2

official box scores
3vs HOU05/011vs TB05/075vs TOR06/179@ COL06/226@ LAA07/032

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5+102-130
FanDuel4.5+100-128
PrizePicks4-137-137
DK Pick64.5-137
BetOnline4.5+100-130
Bovada4.5+100-130
dabble_us_dfs4.5+120-120

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

44.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
FanDuelBetOnlineDraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsPrizePicks

League vs CWS Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Payton Tolle BOS07/076
Tanner Bibee CLE07/051
Parker Messick CLE07/043
Gavin Williams CLE07/036
Slade Cecconi CLE07/023
Dean Kremer BAL07/014
Trey Gibson BAL06/305
Shane Baz BAL06/296
Luinder Avila KC06/284
Michael Wacha KC06/277
Steven Cruz KC06/263
Tanner Bibee CLE06/243
Parker Messick CLE06/2310
Gavin Williams CLE06/228

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Four-seam FB33.1% · 93.0 mph
Sinker27.9% · 92.5 mph
Changeup26.0% · 83.6 mph
Sweeper5.4% · 79.5 mph
Curveball4.9% · 79.2 mph
Cutter2.8% · 85.2 mph