Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.47
Edge
+7.5%All 70 games
27%15/56 over 2 · 14 push
Window avg
1.47
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
44%
4/9
L20
47%
8/17
2026
27%
15/56
Avg1.47
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .342 | .539 | 16.2% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .300 | .460 | 9.6% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .258 | .258 | 17.3% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | .188 | .313 | 18.2% |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .455 | .545 | 10.0% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .321 | .429 | 16.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Sam Antonacci clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 73% · n=29 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=10 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=10 · -185 BetOnline
Tristan Peters o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 58% · n=28 · -132 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 70 games vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +152 | -200 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BOS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 7 | ✓ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jose Siri LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS