Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.61
Edge
+9.1%Last 18
39%7/18 over 0.5
Window avg
0.44
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
39%
7/18
2026
39%
7/18
Avg0.44
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .342 | .539 | 16.2% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .300 | .460 | 9.6% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .258 | .258 | 17.3% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | .188 | .313 | 18.2% |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .455 | .545 | 10.0% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .321 | .429 | 16.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Sam Antonacci clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 73% · n=36 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 74% · n=35 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 77% · base 74% · n=35 · -196 BetOnline
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=14 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 18 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +174 | -172 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BOS — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jose Siri LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS