Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.09
Edge
-0.1%Last 18
30%3/10 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
0.89
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
38%
3/8
L20
30%
3/10
2026
30%
3/10
Avg0.89
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .342 | .539 | 16.2% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .300 | .460 | 9.6% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .258 | .258 | 17.3% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | .188 | .313 | 18.2% |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .455 | .545 | 10.0% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .321 | .429 | 16.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Sam Antonacci clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=16 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=16 · -185 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 18 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -244 | +180 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -161 | +163 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlinedabble_us_dfs
League vs BOS — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vaughn Grissom LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jose Siri LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS