Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Shane McClanahan

Tampa Bay Rays · P · Bats L · Throws L

Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
5.17
Edge
-6.0%
Last 8
25%2/8 over 5.5
Window avg
4.50
Median
4.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
25%
2/8
L20
25%
2/8
2026
25%
2/8
Avg4.50
StreakL1

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 8 vs 5.5

official box scores
5vs CHC04/065@ PIT04/197vs MIN04/254vs TOR05/063@ BAL05/253vs LAA05/316@ MIA06/063@ LAD06/175.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings5.5-101-126
FanDuel5.5-102-125
PrizePicks5.5-137-137
Underdog5.5-137-137
DK Pick65.5-137-137
Betr Picks5.5-137-137
Bovada5.5-105-125
BetOnline5.5-109-119
dabble_us_dfs5.5+100+101

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

5.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
FanDuelBetOnlineDraftKingsBovadaUnderdogPrizePicks

League vs NYY Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 5.5

Ian Seymour TB07/0712
Griffin Jax TB07/0610
Joe Ryan MIN07/059
Zebby Matthews MIN07/045
Mike Paredes MIN07/032
Troy Melton DET07/017
Tarik Skubal DET06/309
Casey Mize DET06/2910
Sonny Gray BOS06/289
Jake Bennett BOS06/273
Payton Tolle BOS06/267
Connelly Early BOS06/259
Tarik Skubal DET06/249
Casey Mize DET06/236

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Four-seam FB36.9% · 95.6 mph
Changeup28.8% · 87.0 mph
Slider20.0% · 88.3 mph
Curveball14.3% · 82.1 mph