Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
5.17
Edge
-6.0%Last 16
19%3/16 over 6.5
Window avg
4.81
Median
4.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
19%
3/16
2026
19%
3/16
Avg4.81
StreakL3
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 16 vs 6.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | -101 | -126 |
| FanDuel | 5.5 | -102 | -125 |
| PrizePicks | 5.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 5.5 | -137 | -137 |
| DK Pick6 | 5.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 5.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Bovada | 5.5 | -105 | -125 |
| BetOnline | 5.5 | -109 | -119 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 5.5 | +100 | +101 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelBetOnlineDraftKingsBovadaUnderdogPrizePicks
League vs NYY — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 5.5
| Ian Seymour TB | 07/07 | 12 | ✓ |
| Griffin Jax TB | 07/06 | 10 | ✓ |
| Joe Ryan MIN | 07/05 | 9 | ✓ |
| Zebby Matthews MIN | 07/04 | 5 | ✗ |
| Mike Paredes MIN | 07/03 | 2 | ✗ |
| Troy Melton DET | 07/01 | 7 | ✓ |
| Tarik Skubal DET | 06/30 | 9 | ✓ |
| Casey Mize DET | 06/29 | 10 | ✓ |
| Sonny Gray BOS | 06/28 | 9 | ✓ |
| Jake Bennett BOS | 06/27 | 3 | ✗ |
| Payton Tolle BOS | 06/26 | 7 | ✓ |
| Connelly Early BOS | 06/25 | 9 | ✓ |
| Tarik Skubal DET | 06/24 | 9 | ✓ |
| Casey Mize DET | 06/23 | 6 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB36.9% · 95.6 mph
Changeup28.8% · 87.0 mph
Slider20.0% · 88.3 mph
Curveball14.3% · 82.1 mph