Tonight's line
14.5
Model proj
14.95
Edge
-6.3%Last 5
80%4/5 over 14.5
Window avg
15.40
Median
15.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
83%
5/6
L20
83%
5/6
2026
83%
5/6
Avg15.33
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Shane McClanahan clears 14.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Taylor Walls o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 100% · base 86% · n=10 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 100% · base 86% · n=10 · +111 dabble_us_dfs
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=11 · +132 dabble_us_dfs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 64% · base 56% · n=11 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 5 vs 14.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Outs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 14.5 | -223 | +164 |
| Betr Picks | 15.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 14.5 | -230 | +160 |
Line movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picks
League vs NYY — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 14.5
| Ian Seymour TB | 07/07 | 16 | ✓ |
| Griffin Jax TB | 07/06 | 15 | ✓ |
| Joe Ryan MIN | 07/05 | 21 | ✓ |
| Zebby Matthews MIN | 07/04 | 14 | ✗ |
| Mike Paredes MIN | 07/03 | 12 | ✗ |
| Troy Melton DET | 07/01 | 19 | ✓ |
| Tarik Skubal DET | 06/30 | 18 | ✓ |
| Casey Mize DET | 06/29 | 21 | ✓ |
| Sonny Gray BOS | 06/28 | 22 | ✓ |
| Jake Bennett BOS | 06/27 | 19 | ✓ |
| Payton Tolle BOS | 06/26 | 21 | ✓ |
| Connelly Early BOS | 06/25 | 18 | ✓ |
| Tarik Skubal DET | 06/24 | 18 | ✓ |
| Casey Mize DET | 06/23 | 17 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB36.9% · 95.6 mph
Changeup28.8% · 87.0 mph
Slider20.0% · 88.3 mph
Curveball14.3% · 82.1 mph