Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Foster Griffin

Washington Nationals · P · Bats R · Throws L

Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
5.70
Edge
+7.2%
All 10 games
40%4/10 over 5.5
Window avg
5.30
Median
5.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
4/10
2026
40%
4/10
Avg5.30
StreakL1

Pitcher Strikeoutsall 10 games vs 5.5

official box scores
5@ PHI03/301@ MIL04/113vs ATL04/219@ MIA05/085vs NYM05/194@ AZ06/056vs KC06/169vs PHI06/229@ BAL06/272vs PIT07/035.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings5.5+118-150
PrizePicks5-137-137
Betr Picks5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs5.5+138-137

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

55.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs

League vs HOU Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 5.5

Andrew Alvarez WSH07/073
Miles Mikolas WSH07/063
Mason Englert TB07/059
Drew Rasmussen TB07/042
Nick Martinez TB07/033
Taj Bradley MIN07/0111
Joe Ryan MIN06/305
Zebby Matthews MIN06/297
Jack Flaherty DET06/289
Framber Valdez DET06/272
Keider Montero DET06/263
Troy Melton DET06/256
Trey Yesavage TOR06/245
Shane Bieber TOR06/232

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Cutter32.1% · 88.1 mph
Four-seam FB17.1% · 91.5 mph
Sweeper14.5% · 79.8 mph
Curveball10.5% · 77.8 mph
Changeup10.4% · 82.4 mph
Sinker10.3% · 91.2 mph
Splitter5.1% · 81.2 mph