Tonight's line
17.5
Model proj
17.93
Edge
+0.3%Last 8
50%4/8 over 17.5
Window avg
17.00
Median
16.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
4/8
L20
50%
4/8
2026
50%
4/8
Avg17.00
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Foster Griffin clears 17.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 100% · base 88% · n=9 · -114 DraftKings
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 89% · base 64% · n=9 · -155 DraftKings
Curtis Mead o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 64% · n=9 · -215 DraftKings
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 67% · base 50% · n=9 · +130 Bovada
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 8 vs 17.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs HOU — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 17.5
| Andrew Alvarez WSH | 07/07 | 17 | ✗ |
| Miles Mikolas WSH | 07/06 | 18 | ✓ |
| Mason Englert TB | 07/05 | 17 | ✗ |
| Drew Rasmussen TB | 07/04 | 15 | ✗ |
| Nick Martinez TB | 07/03 | 16 | ✗ |
| Taj Bradley MIN | 07/01 | 15 | ✗ |
| Joe Ryan MIN | 06/30 | 12 | ✗ |
| Zebby Matthews MIN | 06/29 | 21 | ✓ |
| Jack Flaherty DET | 06/28 | 15 | ✗ |
| Framber Valdez DET | 06/27 | 18 | ✓ |
| Keider Montero DET | 06/26 | 21 | ✓ |
| Troy Melton DET | 06/25 | 18 | ✓ |
| Trey Yesavage TOR | 06/24 | 17 | ✗ |
| Shane Bieber TOR | 06/23 | 11 | ✗ |