Tonight's line
17.5
Model proj
17.92
Edge
+0.2%Last 15
91%10/11 over 15 · 4 push
Window avg
17.60
Median
18.0
L5
100%
4/4
L10
83%
5/6
L20
92%
11/12
2026
92%
11/12
Avg17.22
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Foster Griffin clears 17.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 100% · base 88% · n=9 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 100% · base 88% · n=9 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 89% · base 64% · n=9 · -155 DraftKings
Curtis Mead o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 64% · n=9 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 15 vs 15
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Outs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 17.5 | -150 | +113 |
| Bovada | 17.5 | -155 | +115 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 17.5 | -120 | +120 |
Line movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 17.5
| Andrew Alvarez WSH | 07/07 | 17 | ✗ |
| Miles Mikolas WSH | 07/06 | 18 | ✓ |
| Mason Englert TB | 07/05 | 17 | ✗ |
| Drew Rasmussen TB | 07/04 | 15 | ✗ |
| Nick Martinez TB | 07/03 | 16 | ✗ |
| Taj Bradley MIN | 07/01 | 15 | ✗ |
| Joe Ryan MIN | 06/30 | 12 | ✗ |
| Zebby Matthews MIN | 06/29 | 21 | ✓ |
| Jack Flaherty DET | 06/28 | 15 | ✗ |
| Framber Valdez DET | 06/27 | 18 | ✓ |
| Keider Montero DET | 06/26 | 21 | ✓ |
| Troy Melton DET | 06/25 | 18 | ✓ |
| Trey Yesavage TOR | 06/24 | 17 | ✗ |
| Shane Bieber TOR | 06/23 | 11 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Cutter32.1% · 88.1 mph
Four-seam FB17.1% · 91.5 mph
Sweeper14.5% · 79.8 mph
Curveball10.5% · 77.8 mph
Changeup10.4% · 82.4 mph
Sinker10.3% · 91.2 mph
Splitter5.1% · 81.2 mph