Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
5.70
Edge
+7.2%Last 7
71%5/7 over 4.5
Window avg
5.86
Median
6.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
71%
5/7
L20
71%
5/7
2026
71%
5/7
Avg5.86
StreakW4
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 7 vs 4.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +118 | -150 |
| PrizePicks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 5.5 | +138 | -137 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 5.5
| Andrew Alvarez WSH | 07/07 | 3 | ✗ |
| Miles Mikolas WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✗ |
| Mason Englert TB | 07/05 | 9 | ✓ |
| Drew Rasmussen TB | 07/04 | 2 | ✗ |
| Nick Martinez TB | 07/03 | 3 | ✗ |
| Taj Bradley MIN | 07/01 | 11 | ✓ |
| Joe Ryan MIN | 06/30 | 5 | ✗ |
| Zebby Matthews MIN | 06/29 | 7 | ✓ |
| Jack Flaherty DET | 06/28 | 9 | ✓ |
| Framber Valdez DET | 06/27 | 2 | ✗ |
| Keider Montero DET | 06/26 | 3 | ✗ |
| Troy Melton DET | 06/25 | 6 | ✓ |
| Trey Yesavage TOR | 06/24 | 5 | ✗ |
| Shane Bieber TOR | 06/23 | 2 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Cutter32.1% · 88.1 mph
Four-seam FB17.1% · 91.5 mph
Sweeper14.5% · 79.8 mph
Curveball10.5% · 77.8 mph
Changeup10.4% · 82.4 mph
Sinker10.3% · 91.2 mph
Splitter5.1% · 81.2 mph