Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.49
Edge
-2.1%All 85 games
4%3/85 over 2.5
Window avg
0.66
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
4%
3/85
Avg0.66
StreakL15
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .290 | .617 | 22.5% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .143 | .257 | 24.6% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .279 | .294 | 16.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when JJ Wetherholt clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 66% · n=40 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=40 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 68% · n=40 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Nelson Velázquez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 47% · n=8 · -116 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — all 85 games vs 2.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +147 | -145 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs MIL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Blaze Jordan STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS