Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
5.26
Edge
+5.5%Last 3
67%2/3 over 4.5
Window avg
4.67
Median
5.0
L5
67%
2/3
L10
67%
2/3
L20
67%
2/3
2026
67%
2/3
Avg4.67
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Walbert Ureña clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Zach Neto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 47% · n=8 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Zach Neto o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 75% · base 60% · n=8 · +131 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 3 vs 4.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -139 | +109 |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -142 | +112 |
| PrizePicks | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| DK Pick6 | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 4.5 | -120 | +120 |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -145 | +110 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKingsBovadaPrizePicksUnderdogBetr Picks
League vs TEX — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 4.5
| José Soriano LAA | 07/07 | 4 | ✗ |
| Casey Mize DET | 07/05 | 4 | ✗ |
| Jack Flaherty DET | 07/04 | 5 | ✓ |
| Framber Valdez DET | 07/02 | 1 | ✗ |
| Joey Cantillo CLE | 07/01 | 4 | ✗ |
| Tanner Bibee CLE | 06/30 | 2 | ✗ |
| Parker Messick CLE | 06/29 | 5 | ✓ |
| Shane Bieber TOR | 06/28 | 4 | ✗ |
| Dylan Cease TOR | 06/27 | 10 | ✓ |
| Patrick Corbin TOR | 06/26 | 5 | ✓ |
| Kevin Gausman TOR | 06/25 | 4 | ✗ |
| Eury Pérez MIA | 06/24 | 1 | ✗ |
| Sandy Alcantara MIA | 06/23 | 4 | ✗ |
| Tyler Phillips MIA | 06/22 | 4 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Changeup32.7% · 90.4 mph
Sinker31.6% · 97.5 mph
Four-seam FB19.9% · 97.4 mph
Sweeper15.8% · 86.2 mph
Fastball0.1% · 84.7 mph