Tonight's line
17.5
Model proj
16.35
Edge
-15.8%Last 5
40%2/5 over 17.5
Window avg
15.80
Median
15.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
4/8
L20
50%
4/8
2026
50%
4/8
Avg16.25
StreakL2
Pitcher Outs — last 5 vs 17.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs TEX — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 17.5
| José Soriano LAA | 07/07 | 18 | ✓ |
| Casey Mize DET | 07/05 | 20 | ✓ |
| Jack Flaherty DET | 07/04 | 17 | ✗ |
| Framber Valdez DET | 07/02 | 15 | ✗ |
| Joey Cantillo CLE | 07/01 | 15 | ✗ |
| Tanner Bibee CLE | 06/30 | 21 | ✓ |
| Parker Messick CLE | 06/29 | 20 | ✓ |
| Shane Bieber TOR | 06/28 | 16 | ✗ |
| Dylan Cease TOR | 06/27 | 14 | ✗ |
| Patrick Corbin TOR | 06/26 | 13 | ✗ |
| Kevin Gausman TOR | 06/25 | 18 | ✓ |
| Eury Pérez MIA | 06/24 | 14 | ✗ |
| Sandy Alcantara MIA | 06/23 | 20 | ✓ |
| Tyler Phillips MIA | 06/22 | 18 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Changeup32.7% · 90.4 mph
Sinker31.6% · 97.5 mph
Four-seam FB19.9% · 97.4 mph
Sweeper15.8% · 86.2 mph
Fastball0.1% · 84.7 mph