Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.31
Edge
+2.7%Last 10
40%4/10 over 1.5
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
25%
22/88
Avg1.00
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Steven Cruz (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.
Parlay pairs — when Carson Benge clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=37 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 58% · n=17 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Christian Scott o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=8 · -122 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 10 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -233 | +237 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs KC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| A.J. Ewing NYM | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Torrens NYM | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorge Polanco NYM | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Francisco Lindor NYM | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Trea Turner PHI | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Bryson Stott PHI | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Bohm PHI | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| J.T. Realmuto PHI | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Derek Hill PHI | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryce Harper PHI | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |