Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.18
Edge
+5.1%All 88 games
1%1/79 over 1 · 9 push
Window avg
0.13
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/8
L20
0%
0/16
2026
1%
1/79
Avg0.13
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Steven Cruz (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.
Parlay pairs — when Carson Benge clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Bo Bichette o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 80% · base 57% · n=10 · -137 Betr Picks
Brett Baty o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 54% · n=10 · -154 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — all 88 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +793 | -769 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs KC — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| A.J. Ewing NYM | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Torrens NYM | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Francisco Lindor NYM | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorge Polanco NYM | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Schwarber PHI | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryson Stott PHI | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Marsh PHI | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Bohm PHI | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Derek Hill PHI | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| J.T. Realmuto PHI | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |