Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alex Bregman

Chicago Cubs · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-3.6%
Last 5
0%0/3 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/7
L20
0%
0/15
2026
4%
3/71
Avg1.02
Streak

Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Splitter
39.4%
82.5.200.60033.3%
Four-seam FB
21.3%
93.5.272.38011.3%
Sinker
16.9%
92.3.281.3035.2%
Curveball
14.2%
77.2.148.14824.4%
Cutter
5.5%
86.8.381.76214.0%
Slider
2.8%
83.4.154.25028.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Alex Bregman clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 73% · n=64 · -222 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 2

official box scores
0vs SD07/012vs STL07/030vs STL07/041vs STL07/052@ BAL07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-244+180
BetOnline0.5-238+179
dabble_us_dfs0.5-213+217

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Elly De La Cruz CIN07/050
JJ Bleday CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.125.231.320.195.224.405.111.244.296
AVG
.125.231.292.205.229.400.111.205.296
Exit Velo
81.9289.4994.2184.3891.5292.4483.0792.6486.16
sluggingPercentage
.167.385.500.256.375.514.111.308.370
OPS
.292.615.800.439.592.892.222.537.667