Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alex Bregman

Chicago Cubs · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-3.6%
Last 20
25%5/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
24%
21/89
Avg1.02
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Alex Bregman clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 73% · n=64 · -222 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ SF06/132@ SF06/142vs COL06/150vs COL06/160vs COL06/171vs TOR06/191vs TOR06/200@ NYM06/230@ NYM06/241@ NYM06/251@ MIL06/260@ MIL06/270@ MIL06/282vs SD06/291vs SD06/300vs SD07/012vs STL07/030vs STL07/041vs STL07/052@ BAL07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-244+180
BetOnline0.5-238+179

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
TJ Friedl CIN07/050
JJ Bleday CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.292.615.800.439.604.892.222.513.577
onBasePercentage
.125.231.320.195.229.405.111.231.269
AVG
.125.231.292.205.234.400.111.189.269
sluggingPercentage
.167.385.500.256.383.514.111.297.308
Exit Velo
81.9289.4994.2184.3891.6892.4483.0792.7585.99