Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.59
Edge
+0.3%Trending splitsAway 50%(40)
Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
39%
9/23
Avg0.44
StreakW3
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .200 | .600 | 33.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .272 | .380 | 11.3% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .281 | .303 | 5.2% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .148 | .148 | 24.4% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .381 | .762 | 14.0% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .154 | .250 | 28.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Alex Bregman clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 73% · n=37 · -222 BetOnline
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 62% · n=33 · -183 DraftKings
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=37 · -230 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 75% · base 53% · n=36 · +125 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +127 | -127 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6
League vs BAL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Elly De La Cruz CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS