Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alex Bregman

Chicago Cubs · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-3.6%
Trending splitsAway 75%(40)
Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
65%
15/23
Avg0.88
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Alex Bregman clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 73% · n=64 · -222 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ TB04/061@ PHI04/131@ PHI04/151vs PHI04/213vs PHI04/221vs PHI04/230@ LAD04/261vs CIN05/051@ ATL05/141vs MIL05/201@ STL05/310vs OAK06/021vs OAK06/030vs SF06/050vs COL06/171vs TOR06/200@ NYM06/240@ MIL06/271vs SD06/301vs STL07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-244+180
BetOnline0.5-238+179

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Noelvi Marte CIN07/050
JJ Bleday CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.292.615.800.439.604.892.222.513.577
onBasePercentage
.125.231.320.195.229.405.111.231.269
AVG
.125.231.292.205.234.400.111.189.269
sluggingPercentage
.167.385.500.256.383.514.111.297.308
Exit Velo
81.9289.4994.2184.3891.6892.4483.0792.7585.99