Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.25
Edge
+18.2%Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
64%
32/50
Avg1.42
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.1% | 97.7 | .315 | .667 | 13.2% |
| Slider | 29.1% | 89.3 | .208 | .292 | 39.2% |
| Changeup | 11.3% | 83.6 | .320 | .560 | 34.0% |
| Sinker | 9.8% | 96.3 | .320 | .360 | 10.3% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.3% | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 4.4% | 84.2 | .000 | .000 | 36.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Bryce Eldridge clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 90% · base 63% · n=10 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Luis Arraez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 84% · base 80% · n=31 · -236 DraftKings
Jung Hoo Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 69% · n=31 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 70% · base 44% · n=10 · +159 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -102 | +103 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs TOR — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Drew Gilbert SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eric Haase SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo