Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Denzer Guzman

Los Angeles Angels · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.88
Edge
+3.2%
All 18 games
67%12/18 over 0.5
Window avg
0.83
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
67%
12/18
2026
90%
9/10
Avg0.83
StreakW6

Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
45.0%
95.4.143.28619.6%
Curveball
21.3%
81.7.000.00018.2%
Changeup
10.2%
86.7.300.80043.5%
Slider
9.5%
85.8.267.46727.3%
Cutter
8.9%
89.9.667.7788.3%
Sinker
5.1%
95.2.263.26321.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Denzer Guzman clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 59% · n=17 · -129 DraftKings
Jo Adell o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 57% · n=23 · -147 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 18 games vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
0@ SEA09/132@ SEA09/141@ MIL09/160@ MIL09/170@ MIL09/181@ COL09/190@ COL09/200@ COL09/211@ AZ06/152@ AZ06/161@ AZ06/170@ OAK06/181@ OAK06/191@ OAK06/202@ OAK06/211@ SEA06/291@ SEA07/021@ TEX07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-144+108
dabble_us_dfs0.5-139+139

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs TEX Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jo Adell LAA07/072
Josh Lowe LAA07/071
Oswald Peraza LAA07/071
Logan O'Hoppe LAA07/071
Nolan Schanuel LAA07/071
Jorge Soler LAA07/071
Wade Meckler LAA07/071
Zach Neto LAA07/070
Riley Greene DET07/053
Kevin McGonigle DET07/052
Dillon Dingler DET07/051
Kerry Carpenter DET07/051
Spencer Torkelson DET07/051
James Outman DET07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.556.143.000.143.375.125.000.444.385
AVG
.556.143.000.143.375.125.000.444.385
Exit Velo
78.7191.7897.0688.4990.8289.5389.6492.5384.04
sluggingPercentage
.889.286.000.143.750.125.000.889.462
OPS
1.444.429.000.2861.125.250.0001.333.846