Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Denzer Guzman

Los Angeles Angels · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.14
Edge
+1.8%
Last 20
0%0/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.15
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/23
Avg0.14
StreakL36

Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
45.0%
95.4.143.28619.6%
Curveball
21.3%
81.7.000.00018.2%
Changeup
10.2%
86.7.300.80043.5%
Slider
9.5%
85.8.267.46727.3%
Cutter
8.9%
89.9.667.7788.3%
Sinker
5.1%
95.2.263.26321.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Home Runslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
0vs TB06/130vs TB06/140@ AZ06/150@ AZ06/160@ AZ06/170@ OAK06/181@ OAK06/191@ OAK06/201@ OAK06/210vs BAL06/220vs BAL06/240vs OAK06/260vs OAK06/270vs OAK06/280@ SEA06/290@ SEA07/020vs BOS07/030vs BOS07/040vs BOS07/050@ TEX07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+823-769

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TEX Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Logan O'Hoppe LAA07/070
Nolan Schanuel LAA07/070
Jo Adell LAA07/070
Oswald Peraza LAA07/070
Josh Lowe LAA07/070
Wade Meckler LAA07/070
Jorge Soler LAA07/070
Zach Neto LAA07/070
Riley Greene DET07/051
Dillon Dingler DET07/050
James Outman DET07/050
Zach McKinstry DET07/050
Jake Rogers DET07/050
Kerry Carpenter DET07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.556.143.000.143.375.125.000.444.385
AVG
.556.143.000.143.375.125.000.444.385
Exit Velo
78.7191.7897.0688.4990.8289.5389.6492.5384.04
sluggingPercentage
.889.286.000.143.750.125.000.889.462
OPS
1.444.429.000.2861.125.250.0001.333.846